CF Montrealvs
Portland Timbers
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
CF Montreal are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20