GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/18/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CF Montreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CF Montreal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Major League Soccer, while CF Montreal holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CF Montreal

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

CF Montreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CF MontrealLLLLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
New York Red BullsDWLDL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CF MontrealNew York Red Bulls
44.4Attack53.7
35.2Defence27.8
29.6Form46.3
37.8Power45.0
2.03xG1.98
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