GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/1/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CF Montreal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while New England Revolution are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CF MontrealLLDWW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
New England RevolutionWDLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CF MontrealNew England Revolution
44.4Attack51.9
35.2Defence57.4
29.6Form55.6
37.8Power55.4
1.16xG1.96
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