CF Montrealvs
DC United
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Montreal Impact are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while DC United are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
DC United
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
11.2%
DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80