CF Montrealvs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/16/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
CF Montreal are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00