Cesenavs
Vis Pesaro
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cesena · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Cesena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vis Pesaro are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cesena hold a 71.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 17.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cesena holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cesena
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
9.5%
Cesena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80