GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 7/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cesar Vallejo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union Comercio are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Comercio hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cesar VallejoLLDDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Union ComercioLLWWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cesar VallejoUnion Comercio
26.7Attack40.0
66.7Defence93.3
33.3Form70.0
44.5Power68.5
0.41xG0.79
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