Cesar Vallejovs
Molinos El Pirata
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 8/9/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cesar Vallejo are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Molinos El Pirata are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and molinos El Pirata hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Segunda División, favouring a draw with 17.5% confidence, a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.0%
Model confidence
17.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20