CerrovsRacing Montevideo

Cerro are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.