CerrovsDeportivo Maldonado

Cerro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.