GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cerro are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Boston River are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boston River hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CerroDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Boston RiverDLLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CerroBoston River
21.7Attack29.2
50.7Defence56.9
31.9Form36.1
37.9Power42.7
0.68xG0.80
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