Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albion FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Cerro are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Albion FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Albion FC hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.0% in the Primera División, while Albion FC holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Albion FC
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
19.0%
Albion FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20