Cerro Largovs
Juventud
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cerro Largo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Juventud are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Largo hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring a draw with 17.0% confidence, a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.1%
Model confidence
17.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20