Cerro LargovsDeportivo Maldonado

Cerro Largo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.