Cerro Largovs
Defensor Sporting
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 7/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cerro Largo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.3 against 48.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40