GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 7/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cerro Largo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.3 against 48.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerro LargoDWWLL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Defensor SportingLDDLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
34.8Attack27.5
63.8Defence69.6
42.0Form39.1
48.3Power48.1
0.68xG0.54
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