Cerro Largovs
Cerro
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 4/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerro Largo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cerro Largo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cerro are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Largo hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Primera División, while Cerro Largo holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cerro Largo
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Cerro Largo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40