GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 3/9/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cerro Largo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atletico Torque are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerro LargoLLLWL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico TorqueWWWDL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cerro LargoAtletico Torque
34.8Attack50.0
63.8Defence59.1
42.0Form53.0
48.3Power55.5
0.89xG1.01
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