Cerritovs
Plaza Colonia
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 6/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cerrito are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Plaza Colonia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20