GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tochigi City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Cerezo Osaka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tochigi City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tochigi City hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 73.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tochigi City holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tochigi City

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Tochigi City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerezo OsakaWDWWW

GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Tochigi CityWWLWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Cerezo OsakaTochigi City
66.7Attack100.0
11.1Defence50.0
33.3Form75.0
38.7Power73.1
1.77xG2.65
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