GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cerezo Osaka are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 53.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerezo OsakaWLDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDDWWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Cerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
33.3Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
42.7Power95.8
1.09xG1.76
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