GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cerezo Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cerezo Osaka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kyoto Sanga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerezo Osaka hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the J1 League, while Cerezo Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cerezo Osaka

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Cerezo Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerezo OsakaWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kyoto SangaWLDWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Cerezo OsakaKyoto Sanga
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence33.3
50.0Form16.7
42.7Power36.5
1.55xG1.32
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