GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Borussia Dortmund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cerezo Osaka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Borussia Dortmund are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Borussia Dortmund hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Borussia Dortmund holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Borussia Dortmund

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Borussia Dortmund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerezo OsakaWWDWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Borussia DortmundLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cerezo OsakaBorussia Dortmund
66.7Attack46.7
11.1Defence60.0
33.3Form46.7
38.7Power53.0
1.69xG1.85
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