GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Central Norte are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gimnasia Y Tiro are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

32.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Central NorteDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia Y TiroWWWWD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Central NorteGimnasia Y Tiro
21.2Attack36.1
65.2Defence69.4
33.3Form51.4
42.6Power54.7
0.42xG0.73
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