GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Central Norte are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Colon Santa Fe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Central NorteLDLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Colon Santa FeWWLDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Central NorteColon Santa Fe
21.7Attack40.3
65.2Defence73.6
33.3Form54.2
42.8Power57.1
0.36xG0.81
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