GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 6/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Central Espanol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Central EspanolWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing MontevideoDDWLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Central EspanolRacing Montevideo
40.6Attack42.0
62.3Defence72.5
52.2Form60.9
53.4Power60.6
0.70xG0.88
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