GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 5/9/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Central Espanol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Central EspanolLWLDW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Racing MontevideoDWDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Central EspanolRacing Montevideo
40.6Attack42.0
62.3Defence72.5
52.2Form60.9
53.4Power60.6
0.70xG0.88
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