Central Espanolvs
Danubio
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 4/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Central Espanol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Central Espanol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Danubio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Central Espanol hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Primera División, while Central Espanol holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Central Espanol
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Central Espanol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20