Central Espanolvs
Cerro Largo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 7/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Central Espanol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Central Espanol are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Central Espanol hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.2% in the Primera División, while Central Espanol holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Central Espanol
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
20.2%
Central Espanol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40