Central Espanolvs
Cerro
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 4/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Central Espanol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Central Espanol are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Cerro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Central Espanol hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Primera División, while Central Espanol holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Central Espanol
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Central Espanol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00