Central Ballestervs
El Porvenir
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 4/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Central Ballester are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while El Porvenir are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and El Porvenir hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00