GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Celtic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Celtic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Middlesbrough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Celtic hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Celtic holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Celtic

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Celtic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CelticLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MiddlesbroughLLDDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CelticMiddlesbrough
100.0Attack55.6
38.9Defence72.2
88.9Form72.2
77.6Power67.7
1.96xG1.72
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