Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celtic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Celtic are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dundee are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Celtic hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (92.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Premiership, while Celtic holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celtic
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Celtic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40