GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Celta Vigo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Celta Vigo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sporting Gijon are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Celta Vigo hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Celta Vigo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Celta Vigo

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Celta Vigo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Celta VigoDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting GijonWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Celta VigoSporting Gijon
71.4Attack19.0
57.1Defence85.7
66.7Form38.1
65.4Power49.8
1.67xG0.89
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