Celoricensevs
Montalegre
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celoricense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Celoricense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Montalegre have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Celoricense hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A, while Celoricense holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celoricense
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
16.2%
Celoricense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00