Celjevs
MTK Budapest
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/8/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Celje are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MTK Budapest are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Celje holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celje
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Celje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80