CeljevsEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Celje are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Egnatia Rrogozhinë hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the UEFA Champions League, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.