CeljevsArarat-Armenia

Celje are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ararat-Armenia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ararat-Armenia hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 61.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the UEFA Champions League, while Ararat-Armenia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.