GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ceilândia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Goiatuba EC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Goiatuba EC hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CeilândiaWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Goiatuba ECDLDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CeilândiaGoiatuba EC
30.6Attack41.2
63.9Defence80.4
36.1Form64.7
46.5Power63.6
0.45xG0.86
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