CeilândiavsCapital Brasilia

Ceilândia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Capital Brasilia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Capital Brasilia hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Serie D, while Capital Brasilia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.