GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 2/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ceara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ceara are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Primavera SP are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ceara hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Ceara holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ceara

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Ceara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CearaLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Primavera SPWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CearaPrimavera SP
40.0Attack66.7
73.3Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
63.4Power59.3
1.16xG0.93
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