CEAC / AraruamavsBoavista SC

CEAC / Araruama are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Boavista SC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Boavista SC hold a 47.8-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 75.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Copa Rio, while Boavista SC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.