GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/3/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CD Olimpia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lobos Upnfm are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Olimpia hold a 60.3-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Liga Nacional, while CD Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Olimpia

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD OlimpiaWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lobos UpnfmWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CD OlimpiaLobos Upnfm
83.3Attack16.7
83.3Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
91.7Power31.3
1.84xG0.84
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