GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/16/2026, 11:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Olimpia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CD Olimpia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CD Motagua are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Motagua hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Liga Nacional, while CD Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Olimpia

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

14.1%

CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD OlimpiaWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CD MotaguaLWWWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
CD OlimpiaCD Motagua
66.7Attack100.0
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power97.0
1.32xG1.19
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