GGOALVIO

CD Motagua logoCD MotaguavsFirpo logoFirpo

COMPLETED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Firpo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CD Motagua are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Firpo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Firpo hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Firpo holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Firpo

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD MotaguaDDLLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FirpoDLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CD MotaguaFirpo
33.3Attack0.0
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.60xG1.67
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