GGOALVIO

CD Motagua logoCD MotaguavsFAS logoFAS

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World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CD Motagua are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FAS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Motagua hold a 72.3-point power-rating edge (96.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, favouring a draw with 11.6% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.4%

Model confidence

11.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD MotaguaWWDDW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FASWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
CD MotaguaFAS
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
96.0Power23.7
1.90xG0.94
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