GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/9/2026, 11:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Motagua · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CD Motagua are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Estrella Roja are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Roja hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Liga Nacional, while CD Motagua holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Motagua

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

14.4%

CD Motagua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD MotaguaWWWDD

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella RojaL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
CD MotaguaEstrella Roja
50.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence83.3
50.0Form50.0
54.2Power56.2
1.27xG1.05
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