GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Motagua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CD Motagua are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while CS Cartagines are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Motagua hold a 50.7-point power-rating edge (96.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while CD Motagua holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Motagua

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

11.8%

CD Motagua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD MotaguaLWWWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
CS CartaginesWLDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CD MotaguaCS Cartagines
100.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
96.0Power45.3
1.87xG0.97
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