GGOALVIO

CD Marathon logoCD MarathonvsAtletico Independiente logoAtletico Independiente

COMPLETED

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Marathon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CD Marathon are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Atletico Independiente have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Marathon hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Liga Nacional, while CD Marathon holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Marathon

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

CD Marathon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD MarathonDDDDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Atletico IndependienteNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
CD MarathonAtletico Independiente
33.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power53.0
1.28xG0.98
View match centre →