CaxiasvsGuarany de Bagé

Caxias are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guarany de Bagé are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarany de Bagé hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Copa Do Brasil, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.