Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Castellón · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Castellón are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sabadell are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 79.8 against 80.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Castellón holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Castellón
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Castellón has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40